Blinding and expectancy confounds in psychedelic randomized controlled trials
Expert Review of Clinical Pharmacology May 26, 2021 Suresh Muthukumaraswamy, Anna Forsyth, Thomas Lumley 312 citations
Psychedelic drugs like psilocybin, LSD, and ketamine show promise for treating mental health disorders, but their effectiveness in randomized controlled trials may be overstated. Previous research indicates that participants in psychedelic trials often become unblinded—they can tell whether they received the drug or a placebo—and may have strong expectations of improvement. A systematic review of trials from 1990 to 2020 found that most did not measure pre-trial expectancy or check whether blinding was successful. The authors argue that reported treatment effect sizes are likely overestimated due to these confounds. They recommend routine measurement of de-blinding and expectancy, careful trial design, and caution when interpreting existing effect size estimates.